Juvenes / Dogana vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 0
CAI
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
COS
0 - 3
JUV
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
FAE
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
TFI
3 - 2
JUV
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
5 - 2
COS
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 3
TFI
28%
27%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
SGI
2 - 3
MUR
56%
21%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
FAE
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |