Apertura Honduras Normal Season Round 15

Juticalpa FC vs Lobos UPNFM analysis

Juticalpa FC Lobos UPNFM
65 ELO 63
-5.8% Tilt 3%
2446º General ELO ranking 2505º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
42.9%
Juticalpa FC
26.2%
Draw
30.9%
Lobos UPNFM

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
Juticalpa FC
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.9%
Win probability
Lobos UPNFM
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Juticalpa FC
-22%
-7%
Lobos UPNFM

Points and table prediction

Juticalpa FC
Their league position
Lobos UPNFM
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
21
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Olimpia
38
38
100%
FC Motagua
34
34
100%
Real España
29
29
100%
CD Marathón
25
25
100%
Olancho FC
24
24
100%
CD Génesis
21
21
0%
Lobos UPNFM
21
21
0%
CD Victoria
20
20
100%
Juticalpa FC
17
17
100%
CD Real Sociedad
10º
14
14
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Juticalpa FC
Lobos UPNFM
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Juticalpa FC
Lobos UPNFM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Juticalpa FC
Juticalpa FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2024
JUT
Juticalpa FC
0 - 2
CD Olimpia
OLI
34%
29%
37%
65 74 9 0
28 Oct. 2024
VIC
CD Victoria
4 - 0
Juticalpa FC
JUT
50%
25%
25%
66 68 2 -1
20 Oct. 2024
JUT
Juticalpa FC
1 - 1
CD Marathón
MAR
35%
29%
36%
65 73 8 +1
06 Oct. 2024
RSO
CD Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Juticalpa FC
JUT
45%
26%
29%
65 64 1 0
30 Sep. 2024
JUT
Juticalpa FC
0 - 1
Olancho FC
ALI
38%
29%
32%
65 72 7 0

Matches

Lobos UPNFM
Lobos UPNFM
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2024
JAG
Lobos UPNFM
1 - 1
CD Victoria
VIC
32%
26%
43%
64 69 5 0
26 Oct. 2024
MAR
CD Marathón
1 - 2
Lobos UPNFM
JAG
66%
20%
14%
63 74 11 +1
21 Oct. 2024
JAG
Lobos UPNFM
1 - 4
CD Génesis
CDG
70%
19%
12%
63 43 20 0
06 Oct. 2024
ALI
Olancho FC
4 - 0
Lobos UPNFM
JAG
50%
27%
24%
64 73 9 -1
29 Sep. 2024
JAG
Lobos UPNFM
0 - 2
FC Motagua
MOT
27%
26%
47%
64 74 10 0