Junior vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 0
JUN
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
RSC
0 - 0
JUN
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
JUN
1 - 2
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 2
JUN
14%
22%
64%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
JUN
2 - 1
ALI
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 1
UNI
50%
22%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |