Copa Colombia . Final
Global 3-1
Junior vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 2
JUN
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
JUN
0 - 0
SPO
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
BUC
1 - 3
JUN
29%
29%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 2
JUN
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
JUN
0 - 1
SFE
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
ALI
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
AME
2 - 0
IND
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
IND
2 - 0
JAG
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EQU
2 - 2
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
JUN
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |