Junior vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 1
GRE
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 2
JUN
15%
24%
61%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
JUN
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 2
JUN
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 0
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
PER
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PER
1 - 1
SFE
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
PER
0 - 1
EQU
40%
27%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
PER
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PER
0 - 0
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |