Junior vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
JUN
20%
27%
54%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
JUN
2 - 0
MIL
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
JUN
11%
23%
66%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 2
CAL
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ENV
2 - 2
JUN
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
BUC
3 - 2
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ENV
1 - 0
BUC
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
BUC
2 - 0
PER
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SFE
2 - 0
BUC
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
BUC
0 - 0
EQU
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |