Juba Diogo Simao vs Aliança Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juba Diogo Simao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
JUB
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
JUB
0 - 4
BOM
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VRI
1 - 3
JUB
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JUB
1 - 1
AGR
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
JUB
2 - 1
BAI
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aliança Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALN
0 - 1
BOM
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AGR
2 - 1
ALN
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 0
MIS
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
ALN
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ALN
0 - 0
PRC
43%
24%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |