Juazeiro BA vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juazeiro BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
JUA
63%
20%
16%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
JUA
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 4
BAH
13%
20%
67%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
JUA
3 - 3
SDJ
25%
23%
51%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 2
FLU
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
JUA
63%
20%
16%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
FEI
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
VIT
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |