Juan XXIII vs Parets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan XXIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
JUA
0 - 3
CDM
22%
23%
56%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
JOA
2 - 2
JUA
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
JUA
0 - 2
CDD
11%
16%
72%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CMB
3 - 1
JUA
77%
15%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
JUA
1 - 2
CUE
45%
24%
31%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Parets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 0
PAR
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 0
CPA
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
PAR
61%
20%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
CFR
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SBD
1 - 2
PAR
19%
21%
61%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |