Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 0
AUR
52%
26%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
COM
59%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SBO
1 - 2
AUR
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
LEO
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
AUR
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SBO
1 - 1
MEL
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |