JS Hercules vs Oulun Luistinseura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
NAR
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
VIF
22%
21%
57%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OLS
3 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
JBK
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 2
HER
50%
21%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Oulun Luistinseura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OLS
2 - 0
KPV
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
JIP
0 - 0
OLS
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 0
OLS
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OLS
3 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 4
OLS
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |