JS Hercules vs AC Oulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
75.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
NAR
2 - 3
HER
48%
22%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
HER
3 - 2
VIF
36%
25%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
KUO
1 - 3
HER
41%
21%
39%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
SCJ
1 - 4
HER
12%
14%
74%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
OTP
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
KOO
1 - 3
OUL
43%
24%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
OUL
1 - 4
INT
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
SEI
3 - 1
OUL
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
HAK
2 - 1
OUL
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
PON
1 - 3
OUL
6%
11%
82%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |