Jorge Wilstermann vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
JWI
2 - 1
EME
47%
21%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
NAC
3 - 0
JWI
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
JWI
71%
16%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
3 - 2
JWI
50%
20%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
EME
3 - 1
JWI
58%
19%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1966 |
NAC
3 - 1
OCT
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
OCT
73%
15%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
3 - 2
JWI
50%
20%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
3 - 4
MUN
88%
8%
4%
|
67 | 22 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
2 - 3
NAC
39%
23%
38%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |