Jorge Newbery VM vs Huracán San Rafael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PAC
2 - 1
NEW
57%
21%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 0
JNE
37%
24%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ROS
3 - 0
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 3
TRE
35%
26%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Huracán San Rafael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HUR
1 - 2
SBF
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 13 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HUR
3 - 0
GUA
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUT
3 - 3
HUR
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 0
HUR
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
JUU
4 - 1
HUR
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |