KNVB Beker 1/16

Jong Ajax vs Willem II analysis

Jong Ajax Willem II
63 ELO 74
1.1% Tilt 0%
1918º General ELO ranking 414º
42º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
26.4%
Jong Ajax
24%
Draw
49.6%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
Jong Ajax
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.6%
Win probability
Willem II
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jong Ajax
-17%
-18%
Willem II

ELO progression

Jong Ajax
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jong Ajax
Jong Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2002
JON
Jong Ajax
2 - 3
Utrecht
UTR
21%
23%
56%
63 79 16 0
07 Feb. 2002
JON
Jong Ajax
3 - 0
SC Telstar
TEL
45%
24%
31%
61 63 2 +2
12 Dec. 2001
JON
Jong Ajax
2 - 1
Twente
TWE
17%
22%
61%
59 77 18 +2
23 Oct. 2001
JON
Jong Ajax
2 - 0
De Graafschap
GRA
33%
25%
43%
58 66 8 +1

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2002
PSV
PSV
2 - 1
Willem II
WIL
73%
16%
11%
75 88 13 0
22 Nov. 2002
EXC
Excelsior
0 - 3
Willem II
WIL
50%
23%
27%
74 72 2 +1
15 Nov. 2002
WIL
Willem II
0 - 1
RKC Waalwijk
RKC
62%
21%
17%
75 73 2 -1
09 Nov. 2002
WIL
Willem II
1 - 3
Vitesse
VIT
42%
25%
33%
75 82 7 0
03 Nov. 2002
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
Willem II
WIL
77%
14%
9%
75 88 13 0