Jong Ajax vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
GAE
0 - 3
JON
32%
24%
43%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
JON
1 - 2
PSV
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
NEC
2 - 1
JON
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
JON
0 - 4
RJC
77%
15%
9%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
JON
1 - 2
JUT
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 2
TEL
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 3
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
4 - 6
ALM
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 6
EXC
29%
25%
47%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 1
HEL
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |