Jolly Montemurlo vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VOL
2 - 5
JMO
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JMO
1 - 2
VFC
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
JMO
2 - 1
FCV
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +3 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 1
JMO
33%
24%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JMO
1 - 0
ASG
18%
23%
60%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 1
FOL
44%
25%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 1
GAV
75%
17%
9%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GAV
4 - 1
ACS
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ASG
2 - 1
GAV
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 1
GHI
62%
20%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |