Joinville vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
JEC
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
JEC
1 - 3
CAC
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FFL
0 - 0
JEC
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
JEC
2 - 1
UBE
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UBE
1 - 0
JEC
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
HER
3 - 2
BRU
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ECP
0 - 1
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
JUV
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 0
HER
77%
17%
6%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
CHA
9%
19%
72%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | +1 |