Joinville vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MET
0 - 0
JEC
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 0
CRI
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 2
JEC
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 0
JEC
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 0
FFL
7%
17%
76%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CRI
2 - 3
FFL
46%
25%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FFL
2 - 1
MET
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 2
JEC
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |