Joinville vs Corumbaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
JEC
1 - 0
GRE
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
VAS
6 - 0
JEC
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
ATM
3 - 1
JEC
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
JEC
1 - 0
VAS
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
JEC
1 - 1
ATM
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |