Joinville vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
JEC
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 2
JEC
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 2
AVA
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 1
JEC
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ABC
3 - 2
PAL
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
ABC
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ABC
3 - 1
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ABC
2 - 0
CHA
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
ABC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |