Joe Public FC vs Notre Dame analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
DCU
8 - 0
JOE
92%
6%
2%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Notre Dame
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
UPT
5 - 0
NOT
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1997 |
OGS
0 - 2
NOT
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1997 |
ETO
0 - 0
NOT
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |