Jiangxi Lushan vs Dandong Tengyue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
16º
16º
30
4º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
JXF
1 - 0
JIA
67%
20%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
JIA
0 - 2
YAN
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
DUF
1 - 0
JIA
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
JIA
0 - 1
SJF
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
JIA
2 - 2
ANH
25%
25%
51%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dandong Tengyue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
DTF
1 - 1
DUF
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DTF
2 - 0
SHE
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
SJF
2 - 3
DTF
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
DTF
1 - 1
GFC
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DTF
1 - 1
YAN
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |