JFK Ventspils vs Valmiera II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+119%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
13º
13º
16
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
16 | 55 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 53 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 53 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 50 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 47 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 38 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 32 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 32 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 31 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 27 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 26 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 25 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 24 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 14 |
14º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
31.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
RFA
2 - 2
KFV
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 1
KFV
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
KFV
0 - 1
SKA
12%
20%
69%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FKB
0 - 4
KFV
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KFV
2 - 3
ALB
10%
18%
72%
|
22 | 58 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
TUK
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
RIG
48%
23%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
SAL
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 2
VAL
20%
20%
60%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
PRA
67%
18%
14%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |