Jeunesse Freylangeoise vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
14º
12º
41
1º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jeunesse Freylangeoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RES
2 - 2
JEU
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
REB
4 - 0
JEU
83%
12%
6%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SFR
2 - 2
JEU
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
LON
2 - 0
JEU
46%
22%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
JEU
0 - 1
VAU
45%
23%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MES
3 - 1
GOU
18%
18%
64%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CIN
1 - 0
MES
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
STO
2 - 0
MES
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
GOU
1 - 1
MES
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
MES
1 - 3
RCL
25%
22%
53%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |