Jesina vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
JES
60%
22%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
JES
1 - 1
OLY
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 1
JES
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AMI
1 - 2
JES
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
JES
0 - 1
REC
39%
27%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
AMI
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ISE
2 - 1
AVE
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 0
FVE
61%
19%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 0
AVE
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 0
GIU
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |