Jeseník vs Bílovec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
15º
15º
35
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 63 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 55 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 54 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 51 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 48 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 40 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 31 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 27 |
14º
|
49% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 25 |
15º
|
55.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
55.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jeseník
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 0
JES
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
JES
0 - 0
KRN
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
JES
0 - 2
VIT
53%
20%
27%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SOB
2 - 2
JES
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
JES
1 - 2
FCV
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bílovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BIL
0 - 0
VIT
53%
20%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SOB
0 - 0
BIL
20%
19%
60%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BIL
1 - 4
FCV
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OPA
2 - 1
BIL
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BIL
1 - 4
FKP
55%
21%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |