Jerv vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
ULL
1 - 1
JER
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
JER
1 - 1
MJO
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
JER
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
JER
0 - 1
LEV
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BRY
0 - 1
JER
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
FFK
1 - 0
HOD
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ASA
3 - 0
FFK
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
FFK
1 - 1
RAU
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
MJO
4 - 0
FFK
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ULL
1 - 2
FFK
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |