Jeromelo vs Arneiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jeromelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
JER
1 - 1
REC
71%
16%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PFR
0 - 4
JER
10%
16%
73%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
JER
1 - 2
CER
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CUN
0 - 7
JER
9%
16%
76%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAG
1 - 3
JER
11%
17%
72%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Arneiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ARN
1 - 1
FRI
41%
23%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
REC
2 - 0
ARN
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARN
4 - 3
JCA
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PFR
0 - 1
ARN
32%
23%
44%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIA
2 - 1
ARN
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |