Jerez vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PLA
2 - 0
JER
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
JER
1 - 0
EMD
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 0
JER
63%
22%
16%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
BAD
0 - 0
JER
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
JER
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 0
ARR
42%
26%
32%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CDD
2 - 1
TRU
32%
23%
44%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
TRU
1 - 2
EXT
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
TRU
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 0
ARR
48%
26%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |