Jerez vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CDD
3 - 1
JER
33%
26%
42%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
JER
4 - 1
SAM
71%
18%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
JER
2 - 2
AZU
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
PLA
3 - 2
JER
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
JER
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 1
MOR
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
TRU
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
COR
3 - 0
TRU
72%
18%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 0
CAL
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
EXT
2 - 3
TRU
40%
23%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |