Jerez vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
ALM
0 - 0
JER
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
JER
1 - 0
BET
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
XER
2 - 1
JER
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
JER
2 - 0
AGD
53%
23%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
JER
2 - 1
MOT
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
MAN
0 - 1
RJA
29%
30%
41%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALM
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
BET
1 - 1
RJA
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
RJA
2 - 1
XER
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
RJA
0 - 0
AGD
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |