Jerez vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.2%
+6
3%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
17.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
20.5%
2-0
20.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.2%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
19.7%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
9.3%
1.6%
Win probability
0.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
SAM
1 - 4
JER
19%
23%
59%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
JER
3 - 0
MON
86%
11%
3%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
VIL
2 - 1
JER
10%
20%
70%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
PLA
2 - 4
JER
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 1996 |
JER
4 - 1
COR
86%
11%
3%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
GUA
2 - 2
GUA
27%
27%
46%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
DBN
2 - 0
GUA
90%
8%
2%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
GUA
0 - 5
MOR
10%
20%
71%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
21%
26%
53%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1996 |
UDF
2 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |