JBK vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JBK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
VPS
1 - 3
JBK
23%
23%
55%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
JBK
3 - 0
OPA
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
JBK
4 - 1
TUS
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
KIN
0 - 1
JBK
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
JBK
5 - 2
OPS
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +5 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
NAR
2 - 3
TUS
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
KIN
3 - 1
NAR
60%
23%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
NAR
2 - 3
OPS
31%
25%
43%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
NAR
1 - 2
SEI
15%
21%
65%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
FCK
2 - 0
NAR
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |