Jarabacoa vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarabacoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CFC
3 - 2
JAR
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
JAR
0 - 3
AFC
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AVR
3 - 0
JAR
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
JAR
0 - 4
CFC
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
JAR
2 - 2
AVR
51%
27%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
AVR
2 - 1
AFC
44%
28%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
RFC
2 - 1
AVR
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
2 - 1
AVR
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AVR
3 - 0
JAR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
AVR
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |