JaPS vs FC Lahti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
52%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
8º
7º
40
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 58 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 57 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 45 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 40 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 37 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 34 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 29 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 19 |
9º
|
90% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 10 |
10º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 41.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 54% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JaPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
KER
4 - 1
JAP
41%
23%
37%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
JAP
1 - 4
PK3
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
JIP
1 - 1
JAP
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
JAP
4 - 3
SAL
70%
18%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
TPS
4 - 2
JAP
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
KAP
2 - 2
FCL
15%
22%
63%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
2 - 2
TPS
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
KER
0 - 3
FCL
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 2
JIP
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SAL
1 - 2
FCL
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |