AFC U-23 Asian Cup qualifying Qualifying Round Round 3

Japón U23 vs Baréin U23 analysis

Japón U23 Baréin U23
69 ELO 46
2.7% Tilt -4.9%
1494º General ELO ranking 6616º
31º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
83.7%
Japón U23
11.5%
Draw
4.8%
Baréin U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
Japón U23
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.8%
Win probability
Baréin U23
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO progression

Japón U23
Baréin U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Japón U23
Japón U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2023
PLE
Palestina U23
0 - 1
Japón U23
JPN
6%
17%
77%
69 37 32 0
06 Sep. 2023
JPN
Japón U23
6 - 0
Pakistán U23
PAK
81%
13%
6%
69 46 23 0
20 Sep. 2022
KHM
Camboya U23
1 - 3
Japón U23
JPN
5%
12%
83%
69 33 36 0
29 Mar. 2022
KSA
Arabia Saudí U23
0 - 1
Japón U23
JPN
16%
19%
66%
69 56 13 0
26 Mar. 2022
QAT
Catar U23
0 - 2
Japón U23
JPN
10%
15%
76%
69 48 21 0

Matches

Baréin U23
Baréin U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2023
PAK
Pakistán U23
1 - 3
Baréin U23
BHR
49%
24%
28%
44 46 2 0
06 Sep. 2023
BHR
Baréin U23
0 - 1
Palestina U23
PLE
62%
21%
17%
45 36 9 -1
15 Aug. 2023
VIE
Vietnam U23
1 - 1
Baréin U23
BHR
52%
23%
26%
44 50 6 +1
26 Mar. 2023
BHR
Baréin U23
1 - 1
Estonia U21
EST
62%
20%
18%
45 35 10 -1
24 Mar. 2023
BHR
Baréin U23
3 - 3
Estonia U21
EST
63%
20%
17%
45 34 11 0