Jamaica vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
JAM
3 - 0
SLV
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BRA
1 - 0
JAM
90%
8%
2%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
AUS
2 - 1
JAM
67%
22%
11%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
5 - 0
JAM
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
GTM
0 - 2
JAM
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
BRA
3 - 3
URU
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2003 |
MEX
0 - 2
URU
54%
23%
23%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
PAR
4 - 1
URU
43%
26%
32%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
71%
19%
11%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |