Jaguariúna vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
73.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguariúna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
BFC
4 - 0
JFC
56%
20%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
JFC
0 - 1
ITA
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
GDS
0 - 1
JFC
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
JFC
0 - 2
IND
11%
16%
72%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
JFC
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
COM
0 - 0
IND
71%
20%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 0
COM
18%
24%
59%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
COM
3 - 0
ECN
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
GDS
0 - 5
COM
10%
19%
72%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
COM
5 - 1
BFC
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |