Jaguares de Jalisco vs Industriales Naucalpan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares de Jalisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
IDN
2 - 3
JAJ
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
JAJ
4 - 3
NEZ
59%
22%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
JAJ
3 - 1
HAQ
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 0
JAJ
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAP
0 - 6
JAJ
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Industriales Naucalpan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
IDN
2 - 3
JAJ
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
IDN
2 - 0
CAP
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
DRT
0 - 1
IDN
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
IDN
2 - 0
NEZ
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
IDN
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |