Jaguares FC vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
JAG
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 2
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
JAG
4 - 2
RIO
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 2
JAG
27%
28%
46%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
JAG
0 - 0
COR
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
REA
2 - 0
TFC
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 0
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
CUC
2 - 0
REA
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
REA
3 - 1
UNI
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 0
REA
66%
20%
13%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |