Jaguares FC vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
47.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JAG
1 - 0
FOR
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 1
JAG
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
JAG
1 - 3
PER
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ENV
2 - 0
JAG
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
RSC
3 - 0
JAG
30%
29%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
AGU
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 0
AGU
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SFE
2 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |