Jaguares FC vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CUC
1 - 1
JAG
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
JAG
1 - 1
PAS
27%
29%
45%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 1
JAG
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
JAG
1 - 1
NAC
20%
27%
54%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CAL
4 - 0
JAG
59%
23%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
BUC
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ONC
0 - 0
ALI
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
ENV
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
SFE
0 - 1
ALI
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 2
AGU
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |