Jaguares FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
JAG
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
JAG
5 - 2
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
JAG
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 1
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PUM
2 - 1
JAG
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 1
LEO
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIJ
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
TIJ
0 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |