Jaguaré vs Cachoeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguaré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2005 |
JAG
1 - 0
VIT
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
VFC
2 - 0
JAG
38%
23%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
JAG
3 - 2
SER
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
EST
3 - 1
JAG
47%
23%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
JAG
1 - 2
SAO
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cachoeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2005 |
CFC
3 - 1
SEV
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
COL
2 - 1
CFC
87%
9%
3%
|
21 | 60 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
CFC
1 - 0
SAO
29%
23%
47%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | +7 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CFC
0 - 5
VIT
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 53 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CFC
0 - 2
VFC
31%
24%
46%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | -1 |