Jagodina vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 2
JAV
44%
29%
28%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
VOJ
1 - 0
JAG
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 5
CRV
23%
26%
52%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
JAG
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 2
ČUK
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
CRV
5 - 2
DTB
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
DTB
2 - 0
CRV
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
CRV
4 - 0
RUD
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
RUD
0 - 1
CRV
40%
25%
36%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
NAP
2 - 2
CRV
22%
27%
52%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |