Jagiellonia II vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
RAD
3 - 0
JAG
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 2
JAG
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 0
KFC
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
USK
1 - 2
JAG
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
JAG
0 - 1
HUR
24%
24%
52%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
POL
4 - 1
BRA
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
RAD
0 - 4
POL
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
POL
2 - 1
UWA
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
RWM
3 - 3
POL
27%
24%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
POL
0 - 1
KSL
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |