Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 0
LPO
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SLA
3 - 1
JAG
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 1
WAR
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 1
JAG
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 1
RCH
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
ZAL
4 - 2
CRA
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
WAR
2 - 2
ZAL
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ZAL
3 - 1
RCH
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
GÓR
2 - 2
ZAL
43%
26%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ZAL
2 - 1
LPO
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |