Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Tloki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
LKS
0 - 0
JAG
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 0
ALU
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
POG
3 - 1
JAG
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2004 |
JAG
1 - 3
GKS
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
POD
2 - 0
JAG
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tloki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
TLO
0 - 0
ARK
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
RAD
1 - 0
TLO
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
TLO
1 - 1
RCH
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2004 |
CER
2 - 1
TLO
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
TLO
1 - 2
POL
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |