Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Górnik Łęczna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
LPO
2 - 0
JAG
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 2
KOR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SLA
0 - 1
JAG
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 3
JAG
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 1
CRA
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Górnik Łęczna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
GOR
2 - 1
CRA
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
POG
0 - 1
GOR
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GOR
0 - 1
GÓR
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
ZAW
0 - 0
GOR
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GOR
3 - 1
WAR
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |